Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ Hornets WSH @ CHA

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

10-33  |  Road

115
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 12:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

17-28  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
HORNETS
0%
WIZARDS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Charlotte)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

11.5%

Hornets Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)

WSH By 1-7 points

8.0%

WSH By 8-14 points

2.2%

CHA By 1-7 points

20.1%

CHA By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
110
WASHINGTON
122
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
108
WASHINGTON
128
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hornets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hornets (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u232.5 Loss
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim u232.5 Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 CHA @ WSH 129 - 112
Jan 24, 2026 WSH @ CHA 115 - 119
Dec 23, 2025 WSH @ CHA 109 - 126
Oct 26, 2025 CHA @ WSH 139 - 113
Mar 1, 2025 WSH @ CHA 113 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +14.6% more
Charlotte: 26.0 vs Washington: 22.7
Rebounding (L5) +11.7% more
Charlotte: 48.1 vs Washington: 43.0
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Charlotte: 47.2% vs Washington: 42.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Charlotte: 35.7% vs Washington: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 110.0 115
CHA Score 122.0 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 32.6 39.0 / 36.0
Assists 26.0 / 22.7 30.0 / 35.0
Blocks 3.9 / 5.1 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 42.7 52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 81.3 / 79.1 77.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 48.1 / 43.0 46.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.1 / 8.3 8.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 15.2 21.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
WSH
CHA
WSH
ML
61% 60-39
70% 112-49
48% 40-44
47% 39-44
ATS
60% 59-40
69% 111-49-1
48% 40-44
47% 39-44
TTL
58% 57-42
74% 119-41-1
100% 84-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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