Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ 76ers NY @ PHI

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

26-18  |  Road

112
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 3:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

24-19  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
KNICKS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Philadelphia)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

27.4%

76ers Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

NY By 1-7 points

16.9%

NY By 8-14 points

6.8%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.8%

PHI By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
116
NEW YORK
122
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
107
NEW YORK
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (-1) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o226.5 Loss
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim u226.5 Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.2% more
Philadelphia: 12.5 vs New York: 8.9
Assists (L5) +13.2% more
Philadelphia: 28.3 vs New York: 25.0
Free Throw % (L5) +10.6%
Philadelphia: 81.7% vs New York: 71.2%
Rebounding (L5) +12.6% more
New York: 50.4 vs Philadelphia: 44.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 116.0 112
PHI Score 122.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 37.9 31.0 / 34.0
Assists 28.3 / 25.0 24.0 / 27.0
Blocks 5.3 / 5.0 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 47.1 51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 81.7 / 71.2 76.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 44.0 / 50.4 37.0 / 53.0
Steals 12.5 / 8.9 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 14.0 14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NY
PHI
NY
ML
63% 69-40
61% 114-72
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
ATS
65% 71-38
67% 124-62
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
TTL
55% 60-49
72% 133-53
100% 93-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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