VMI
KEYDETSVMI
6-14 | Road
58
WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
6-12 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
0%
CATAMOUNTS
100%
KEYDETS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (VMI)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VMI -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
VMI By 1-7 points
18.6%
VMI By 8-14 points
26.8%
WCU By 1-7 points
6.8%
WCU By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
VMI
69
VMI
Western Carolina
56
WESTERN CAROLINA
Simulated Score
VMI
65
VMI
Western Carolina
78
WESTERN CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Keydets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Keydets (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WCU @ VMI
81 - 62
Jan 24, 2026
VMI @ WCU
58 - 88
Feb 1, 2025
VMI @ WCU
80 - 76
Jan 15, 2025
WCU @ VMI
50 - 66
Feb 24, 2024
WCU @ VMI
84 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.8% more
VMI: 6.6
vs
Western Carolina: 4.7
Blocks (L5)
+30.0% more
Western Carolina: 3.6
vs
VMI: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+20.8% more
Western Carolina: 38.4
vs
VMI: 31.8
Turnovers (L5)
+19.4% more
Western Carolina: 11.9
vs
VMI: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VMI Score
69.0
58
WCU Score
56.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 33.3
41.0 / 37.0
Assists
12.1 / 11.1
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.7
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 40.4
51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 65.7
33.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 31.8
47.0 / 20.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.6
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 10.0
4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
WCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
WCU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WCU
VMI
WCU
VMI
ML
63%
19-11
53%
17-15
76%
22-7
84%
27-5
ATS
73%
22-8
50%
16-16
77%
23-7
84%
27-5
TTL
67%
20-10
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
32-0