UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
13-7 | Road
61
UC SAN DIEGO
TRITONSUCSD
15-5 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
0%
TRITONS
100%
ANTEATERS
--
TRITONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCI -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
UCI By 1-7 points
0.0%
UCI By 8-14 points
0.1%
UCSD By 1-7 points
0.0%
UCSD By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UC Irvine
90
UC IRVINE
UC San Diego
44
UC SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
UC Irvine
72
UC IRVINE
UC San Diego
68
UC SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
UCSD @ UCI
71 - 69
Jan 24, 2026
UCI @ UCSD
61 - 59
Mar 15, 2025
UCI @ UCSD
61 - 75
Feb 8, 2025
UCSD @ UCI
85 - 67
Jan 11, 2025
UCI @ UCSD
60 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.3% more
UC Irvine: 5.6
vs
UC San Diego: 3.8
Steals (L5)
+17.7% more
UC Irvine: 8.5
vs
UC San Diego: 7.0
Turnovers (L5)
+14.0% more
UC Irvine: 13.5
vs
UC San Diego: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.9%
UC Irvine: 78.5%
vs
UC San Diego: 72.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCI Score
90.0
61
UCSD Score
44.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 30.0
28.0 / 25.0
Assists
14.9 / 13.2
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 46.0
34.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 78.5
67.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
40.2 / 40.1
40.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.5
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.5
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
UCSD
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
UCSD
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
UCSD
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCSD
UCI
UCSD
UCI
ML
56%
19-15
57%
20-15
65%
22-12
53%
18-16
ATS
50%
17-17
63%
22-13
65%
22-12
53%
18-16
TTL
62%
21-13
57%
20-15
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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