VCU
RAMSVCU
13-6 | Road
75
DAVIDSON
WILDCATSDAV
12-6 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
RAMS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DAV +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)
VCU By 1-7 points
27.2%
VCU By 8-14 points
20.1%
DAV By 1-7 points
21.6%
DAV By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
VCU
91
VCU
Davidson
88
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
VCU
65
VCU
Davidson
70
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
VCU @ DAV
75 - 69
Feb 28, 2025
DAV @ VCU
56 - 80
Jan 27, 2024
VCU @ DAV
63 - 58
Mar 9, 2023
DAV @ VCU
53 - 71
Jan 31, 2023
VCU @ DAV
61 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.2% more
VCU: 8.8
vs
Davidson: 7.0
Assists (L5)
+17.8% more
VCU: 14.4
vs
Davidson: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
VCU: 73.0%
vs
Davidson: 65.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
VCU: 35.9%
vs
Davidson: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VCU Score
91.0
75
DAV Score
88.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 35.9
36.0 / 31.0
Assists
11.8 / 14.4
8.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.5
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 45.6
47.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
65.5 / 73.0
50.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 33.7
24.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.8
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 8.8
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
DAV
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
VCU
DAV
VCU
ML
64%
21-12
72%
26-10
58%
19-14
67%
22-11
ATS
48%
16-17
81%
29-7
58%
19-14
67%
22-11
TTL
52%
17-16
58%
21-15
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…