Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dukes @ Ramblers DUQ @ LUC

DUQUESNE

DUKESDUQ

10-9  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 2:00 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

5-15  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
DUKES
0%
📊
RAMBLERS
100%
DUKES --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Duquesne)
DukesDUQ (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dukes Cover

99.9%

Ramblers Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DUQ -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)

DUQ By 1-7 points

1.1%

DUQ By 8-14 points

4.8%

LUC By 1-7 points

0.1%

LUC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
86
DUQUESNE
56
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
66
DUQUESNE
75
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dukes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dukes (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 DUQ @ LUC 71 - 59
Feb 8, 2025 LUC @ DUQ 56 - 69
Jan 6, 2024 DUQ @ LUC 67 - 72
Jan 25, 2023 LUC @ DUQ 58 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +62.2% more
Duquesne: 9.1 vs Loyola Chicago: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5) +10.0%
Duquesne: 73.1% vs Loyola Chicago: 63.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Duquesne: 32.6% vs Loyola Chicago: 30.4%
Turnovers (L5) +18.1% more
Loyola Chicago: 15.6 vs Duquesne: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DUQ Score 86.0 71
LUC Score 56.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 32.6 19.0 / 38.0
Assists 15.3 / 15.6 16.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.0 / 3.4 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.3 / 42.0 38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 63.2 / 73.1 74.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 37.9 32.0 / 33.0
Steals 3.5 / 9.1 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 13.2 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DUQ Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DUQ Advantage
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +1.6
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
DUQ
LUC
DUQ
ML
55% 18-15
53% 17-15
50% 16-16
58% 18-13
ATS
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
50% 16-16
58% 18-13
TTL
76% 25-8
50% 16-16
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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