Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Chanticleers USM @ CCU

SOUTHERN MISS

GOLDEN EAGLESUSM

11-10  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 1:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

12-9  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
SOUTHERN MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Southern Miss)
Golden EaglesUSM (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

99.9%

Chanticleers Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USM -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USM)

USM By 1-7 points

0.8%

USM By 8-14 points

4.0%

CCU By 1-7 points

0.1%

CCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
94
SOUTHERN MISS
63
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
69
SOUTHERN MISS
76
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Eagles (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 USM @ CCU 67 - 85
Mar 4, 2025 CCU @ USM 63 - 66
Feb 20, 2025 CCU @ USM 87 - 78
Jan 24, 2024 USM @ CCU 79 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +66.5% more
Southern Miss: 8.2 vs Coastal Carolina: 2.8
Blocks (L5) +34.1% more
Southern Miss: 4.1 vs Coastal Carolina: 2.7
Assists (L5) +29.7% more
Southern Miss: 9.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 6.8
Turnovers (L5) +18.1% more
Southern Miss: 13.2 vs Coastal Carolina: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USM Score 94.0 67
CCU Score 63.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 23.7 61.0 / 31.0
Assists 6.8 / 9.7 13.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.1 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 42.0 57.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 73.2 76.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 31.1 36.0 / 23.0
Steals 2.8 / 8.2 7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.2 15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
10%MONEY90%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USM
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USM
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
USM
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +3.2
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
USM
CCU
USM
ML
41% 13-19
53% 18-16
55% 17-14
73% 24-9
ATS
38% 12-20
59% 20-14
55% 17-14
74% 25-9
TTL
75% 24-8
68% 23-11
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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