EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
7-13 | Road
76
JACKSONVILLE
DOLPHINSJAX
7-13 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
DOLPHINS
100%
COLONELS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Eastern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EKU -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EKU)
EKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EKU By 8-14 points
0.1%
JAX By 1-7 points
0.0%
JAX By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Kentucky
90
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Jacksonville
46
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
Eastern Kentucky
71
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Jacksonville
78
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Colonels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Colonels (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
EKU @ JAX
76 - 81
Mar 3, 2025
EKU @ JAX
67 - 78
Feb 24, 2025
EKU @ JAX
55 - 59
Jan 11, 2025
JAX @ EKU
82 - 75
Mar 5, 2024
JAX @ EKU
67 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.9% more
Eastern Kentucky: 11.8
vs
Jacksonville: 9.0
Assists (L5)
+18.3% more
Eastern Kentucky: 15.9
vs
Jacksonville: 13.0
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Eastern Kentucky: 34.3
vs
Jacksonville: 30.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Eastern Kentucky: 43.5%
vs
Jacksonville: 38.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EKU Score
90.0
76
JAX Score
46.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 43.5
29.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.0 / 15.9
8.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.3
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 49.5
52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
83.9 / 60.5
77.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 34.3
29.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.1
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 11.8
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
JAX
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
JAX
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
EKU
JAX
EKU
ML
74%
23-8
44%
14-18
60%
18-12
69%
22-10
ATS
65%
20-11
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
69%
22-10
TTL
65%
20-11
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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