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UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

17-3  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 2:30 PM ET
Convocation Center (VA)
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

10-10  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
SEAHAWKS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
SeahawksUNCW (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

99.9%

Pirates Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCW -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

UNCW By 1-7 points

0.8%

UNCW By 8-14 points

4.0%

HAMP By 1-7 points

0.1%

HAMP By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
UNC WILMINGTON
66
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
73
UNC WILMINGTON
65
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Seahawks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 UNCW @ HAMP 75 - 67
Jan 3, 2026 HAMP @ UNCW 45 - 49
Mar 9, 2025 HAMP @ UNCW 65 - 79
Feb 22, 2025 UNCW @ HAMP 70 - 83
Jan 25, 2025 HAMP @ UNCW 62 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +9.6% more
UNC Wilmington: 12.6 vs Hampton: 11.4
Rebounding (L5) +8.5% more
UNC Wilmington: 39.1 vs Hampton: 35.8
Blocks (L5) +25.8% more
Hampton: 4.8 vs UNC Wilmington: 3.8
Steals (L5) +14.9% more
Hampton: 6.6 vs UNC Wilmington: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCW Score 97.0 75
HAMP Score 66.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 32.1 32.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.4 / 12.6 14.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.8 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 41.0 47.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 77.8 / 67.6 63.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 39.1 30.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.8 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 10.9 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCW
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
UNCW
HAMP
UNCW
ML
53% 17-15
64% 21-12
75% 24-8
52% 17-16
ATS
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
75% 24-8
52% 17-16
TTL
68% 21-10-1
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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