QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
14-7 | Road
64
MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
12-7 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
RED FOXES
100%
BOBCATS
--
RED FOXES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
MARIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MRST +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRST)
QUIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
QUIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
MRST By 1-7 points
23.0%
MRST By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
78
QUINNIPIAC
Marist
76
MARIST
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
69
QUINNIPIAC
Marist
73
MARIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Foxes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Foxes (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Red Foxes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
MRST @ QUIN
77 - 75
Jan 24, 2026
QUIN @ MRST
64 - 71
Dec 29, 2025
MRST @ QUIN
58 - 64
Jan 5, 2025
QUIN @ MRST
62 - 69
Mar 7, 2024
MRST @ QUIN
64 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.2% more
Quinnipiac: 9.0
vs
Marist: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+15.2% more
Quinnipiac: 3.2
vs
Marist: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+12.2% more
Quinnipiac: 15.5
vs
Marist: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.5%
Quinnipiac: 41.1%
vs
Marist: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
78.0
64
MRST Score
76.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 41.1
33.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.6 / 15.5
19.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.2
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 45.7
53.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
81.4 / 65.6
75.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 33.4
33.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.8 / 9.0
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 10.3
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
MRST
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRST
QUIN
MRST
QUIN
ML
55%
17-14
66%
21-11
61%
19-12
53%
17-15
ATS
74%
23-8
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
53%
17-15
TTL
52%
16-15
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
