SOUTHERN UTAH
THUNDERBIRDSSUU
7-13 | Road
91
UTAH TECH
TRAILBLAZERSUTU
10-11 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERBIRDS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
THUNDERBIRDS
--
TRAILBLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Utah Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)
SUU By 1-7 points
1.7%
SUU By 8-14 points
0.3%
UTU By 1-7 points
8.0%
UTU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Utah
67
SOUTHERN UTAH
Utah Tech
87
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
Southern Utah
75
SOUTHERN UTAH
Utah Tech
68
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trailblazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Thunderbirds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trailblazers (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Thunderbirds (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
UTU @ SUU
67 - 81
Jan 24, 2026
SUU @ UTU
91 - 102
Dec 29, 2025
SUU @ UTU
66 - 80
Mar 11, 2025
UTU @ SUU
72 - 65
Feb 27, 2025
SUU @ UTU
82 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.3% more
Utah Tech: 6.8
vs
Southern Utah: 5.5
Blocks (L5)
+20.3% more
Utah Tech: 5.2
vs
Southern Utah: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Utah Tech: 81.2%
vs
Southern Utah: 75.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+31.0% more
Southern Utah: 16.0
vs
Utah Tech: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SUU Score
67.0
91
UTU Score
87.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 41.6
43.0 / 36.0
Assists
14.7 / 15.3
25.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 47.1
54.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
81.2 / 75.0
75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 40.2
33.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.8 / 5.5
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 16.0
3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SUU
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
UTU
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SUU
14-14-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +3.5
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
SUU
UTU
SUU
ML
68%
23-11
61%
19-12
62%
21-13
68%
21-10
ATS
65%
22-12
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
69%
22-10
TTL
65%
22-12
52%
16-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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