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NORTH DAKOTA STATE

BISONNDSU

17-5  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-16  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
BISON --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
ORAL ROBERTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BisonNDSU (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

34.5%

Golden Eagles Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORU +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORU)

NDSU By 1-7 points

27.4%

NDSU By 8-14 points

21.6%

ORU By 1-7 points

20.1%

ORU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
62
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
72
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
78
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 ORU @ NDSU 65 - 76
Jan 24, 2026 NDSU @ ORU 86 - 58
Jan 3, 2026 ORU @ NDSU 77 - 79
Feb 13, 2025 ORU @ NDSU 88 - 94
Jan 9, 2025 NDSU @ ORU 110 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.0% more
North Dakota State: 8.2 vs Oral Roberts: 4.3
Assists (L5) +20.5% more
North Dakota State: 14.4 vs Oral Roberts: 11.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.6%
North Dakota State: 38.1% vs Oral Roberts: 23.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
North Dakota State: 47.4% vs Oral Roberts: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NDSU Score 66.0 86
ORU Score 62.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.5 / 38.1 35.0 / 50.0
Assists 11.4 / 14.4 10.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.5 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 47.4 43.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 69.0 / 73.9 67.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 35.1 27.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.3 / 8.2 2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 10.0 14.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
100%MONEY0%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDSU Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.9
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
NDSU
ORU
NDSU
ML
85% 28-5
49% 17-18
73% 24-9
59% 20-14
ATS
82% 27-6
54% 19-16
73% 24-9
59% 20-14
TTL
61% 20-13
43% 15-20
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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