BOSTON COLLEGE
EAGLESBC
9-10 | Road
64
NOTRE DAME
FIGHTING IRISHND
10-9 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
FIGHTING IRISH
0%
EAGLES
--
FIGHTING IRISH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Notre Dame)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ND -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)
BC By 1-7 points
24.3%
BC By 8-14 points
13.7%
ND By 1-7 points
26.2%
ND By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston College
85
BOSTON COLLEGE
Notre Dame
86
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
Boston College
67
BOSTON COLLEGE
Notre Dame
78
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Irish
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Fighting Irish
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Irish (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Fighting Irish (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
ND @ BC
69 - 77
Jan 24, 2026
BC @ ND
64 - 68
Feb 12, 2025
ND @ BC
97 - 94
Jan 13, 2025
BC @ ND
60 - 78
Jan 27, 2024
BC @ ND
61 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Notre Dame: 64.4%
vs
Boston College: 60.2%
Blocks (L5)
+64.3% more
Boston College: 4.6
vs
Notre Dame: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+34.1% more
Boston College: 6.2
vs
Notre Dame: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Boston College: 11.9
vs
Notre Dame: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BC Score
85.0
64
ND Score
86.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 34.4
23.0 / 28.0
Assists
10.8 / 11.9
10.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.6 / 4.6
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 42.3
41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
64.4 / 60.2
64.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 35.1
39.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.1 / 6.2
4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.6
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
ND
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
ND
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -3.7
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
BC
ND
BC
ML
65%
20-11
61%
19-12
77%
24-7
61%
17-11
ATS
55%
17-14
73%
22-8-1
77%
24-7
61%
17-11
TTL
68%
21-10
61%
19-12
100%
31-0
100%
28-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…