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MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

15-4  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 2:00 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

12-7  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
ORANGE
100%
HURRICANES --
ORANGE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
190.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Miami)
HurricanesMIA (-3.5) 0 OrangeSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

91.9%

Orange Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIA -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

MIA By 1-7 points

16.9%

MIA By 8-14 points

26.2%

SYR By 1-7 points

5.8%

SYR By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
102
MIAMI
88
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
72
MIAMI
78
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Orange Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Orange (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 190.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 MIA @ SYR 85 - 76
Feb 11, 2025 SYR @ MIA 84 - 91
Jan 20, 2024 MIA @ SYR 69 - 72
Jan 16, 2023 SYR @ MIA 78 - 82
Mar 5, 2022 MIA @ SYR 75 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.6% more
Miami: 7.9 vs Syracuse: 5.9
Blocks (L5) +73.6% more
Syracuse: 4.5 vs Miami: 2.6
Turnovers (L5) +14.7% more
Syracuse: 14.3 vs Miami: 12.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.1%
Syracuse: 40.3% vs Miami: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 102.0 85
SYR Score 88.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 27.3 29.0 / 54.0
Assists 13.8 / 13.5 13.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.5 / 2.6 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 45.3 49.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 74.7 67.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 34.4 21.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.9 / 7.9 11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 12.5 6.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
SYR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
MIA
SYR
MIA
ML
78% 25-7
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
ATS
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
TTL
66% 21-11
63% 22-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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