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IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

17-2  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 4:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

14-5  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
CYCLONES
0%
📊
COWBOYS
100%
CYCLONES --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Iowa State)
CyclonesISU (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cyclones Cover

98.9%

Cowboys Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ISU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)

ISU By 1-7 points

4.8%

ISU By 8-14 points

13.7%

OKST By 1-7 points

0.8%

OKST By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
86
IOWA STATE
63
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
67
IOWA STATE
75
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cyclones Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cyclones (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 ISU @ OKST 84 - 71
Jan 10, 2026 OKST @ ISU 71 - 83
Feb 25, 2025 ISU @ OKST 68 - 74
Jan 13, 2024 OKST @ ISU 42 - 66
Feb 11, 2023 OKST @ ISU 64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +11.1% more
Iowa State: 3.0 vs Oklahoma State: 2.6
Assists (L5) +10.3% more
Iowa State: 16.8 vs Oklahoma State: 15.0
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Iowa State: 46.2% vs Oklahoma State: 44.3%
Turnovers (L5) +25.2% more
Oklahoma State: 11.6 vs Iowa State: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ISU Score 86.0 84
OKST Score 63.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 37.2 30.0 / 42.0
Assists 15.0 / 16.8 11.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.0 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 46.2 39.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 61.4 78.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 36.6 27.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.7 / 8.7 13.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 9.3 14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
OKST
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
ISU
OKST
ISU
ML
60% 21-14
57% 21-16
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
ATS
57% 20-15
62% 23-14
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
TTL
57% 20-15
54% 20-17
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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