OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
11-8 | Road
87
MISSOURI
TIGERSMIZ
13-6 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
100%
TIGERS
0%
SOONERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Missouri)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)
OU By 1-7 points
13.7%
OU By 8-14 points
4.8%
MIZ By 1-7 points
25.3%
MIZ By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
54
OKLAHOMA
Missouri
62
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
70
OKLAHOMA
Missouri
78
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
MIZ @ OU
64 - 80
Jan 24, 2026
OU @ MIZ
87 - 88
Mar 5, 2025
MIZ @ OU
84 - 96
Feb 12, 2025
OU @ MIZ
58 - 82
Mar 20, 2021
MIZ @ OU
68 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+11.6% more
Missouri: 12.2
vs
Oklahoma: 10.9
Assists (L5)
+10.6% more
Missouri: 13.9
vs
Oklahoma: 12.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Missouri: 45.4%
vs
Oklahoma: 42.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Missouri: 33.4%
vs
Oklahoma: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
54.0
87
MIZ Score
62.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 30.9
29.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.9 / 12.6
9.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.8 / 6.1
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 42.6
45.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 76.7
73.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 38.0
41.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.7
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 10.9
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
MIZ
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
MIZ
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
OU
MIZ
OU
ML
61%
20-13
78%
28-8
69%
22-10
59%
20-14
ATS
70%
23-10
72%
26-10
69%
22-10
59%
20-14
TTL
79%
26-7
75%
27-9
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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