AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
DRAGONS
0%
HUSKIES
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Drexel)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DREX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)
NE By 1-7 points
24.3%
NE By 8-14 points
13.7%
DREX By 1-7 points
26.2%
DREX By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
72
NORTHEASTERN
Drexel
73
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Northeastern
68
NORTHEASTERN
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dragons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dragons (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
NE @ DREX
77 - 84
Feb 19, 2026
DREX @ NE
70 - 61
Jan 24, 2026
NE @ DREX
78 - 83
Jan 23, 2025
DREX @ NE
61 - 70
Mar 2, 2024
NE @ DREX
59 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+78.7% more
Drexel: 4.2
vs
Northeastern: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+19.3% more
Drexel: 13.1
vs
Northeastern: 11.0
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
Drexel: 32.9
vs
Northeastern: 30.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
Drexel: 40.2%
vs
Northeastern: 31.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
72.0
78
DREX Score
73.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 31.3
30.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.3 / 15.7
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.4
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 47.0
50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
49.1 / 62.8
68.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 30.2
34.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.8 / 8.8
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 11.0
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
DREX
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
NE
DREX
NE
ML
58%
19-14
70%
21-9
81%
26-6
60%
18-12
ATS
70%
23-10
63%
19-11
81%
26-6
60%
18-12
TTL
48%
16-17
53%
16-14
100%
32-0
100%
30-0