FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
26-20-3 | Road
4
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
29-14-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.85 | 0.882 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.85
--
Save %
0.882
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
WILD
0%
PANTHERS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
FLA By 1 goal
12.1%
FLA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
MIN @ FLA
3 - 2
Jan 24, 2026
FLA @ MIN
4 - 3
Dec 18, 2024
FLA @ MIN
6 - 1
Oct 22, 2024
MIN @ FLA
5 - 1
Jan 19, 2024
MIN @ FLA
6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.2% more
Minnesota: 16.8
vs
Florida: 12.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.8% more
Minnesota: 32.4
vs
Florida: 26.4
Power Play % (L5)
+18.7%
Minnesota: 35.4%
vs
Florida: 16.7%
Hits (L5)
+19.9% more
Florida: 23.6
vs
Minnesota: 18.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
2.0
4
MIN Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 12.1
10.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
43.2 / 45.4
46.4 / 53.6
Hits
18.9 / 23.6
17.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
35.4 / 16.7
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
32.4 / 26.4
21.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 4.4
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
FLA
MIN
FLA
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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