CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
31-15-5 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
23-20-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 1.00 | 0.973 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.973
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
SENATORS
100%
HURRICANES
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
OTT By 1 goal
2.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 25, 2026
CAR @ OTT
4 - 2
Apr 23, 2026
CAR @ OTT
2 - 1
Apr 20, 2026
OTT @ CAR
2 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
OTT @ CAR
0 - 2
Apr 5, 2026
CAR @ OTT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+27.5% more
Carolina: 6.3
vs
Ottawa: 4.6
Hits (L5)
+21.7% more
Carolina: 24.3
vs
Ottawa: 19.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.7% more
Carolina: 31.7
vs
Ottawa: 26.1
Power Play % (L5)
+2.7%
Carolina: 21.9%
vs
Ottawa: 19.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
4.0
4
OTT Score
1.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 8.0
15.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
59.9 / 57.8
67.9 / 32.1
Hits
19.0 / 24.3
34.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
19.2 / 21.9
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 31.7
36.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 6.3
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
CAR
OTT
CAR
ML
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-5
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
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