MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
28-16-7 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
29-20-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 4.18 | 0.800 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 3.02 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.18
GAA
Ldr 3.02
0.800
Save %
Ldr 0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
BRUINS
0%
CANADIENS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Boston
2
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
BOS @ MTL
2 - 3
Jan 24, 2026
MTL @ BOS
3 - 4
Dec 23, 2025
MTL @ BOS
6 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
BOS @ MTL
3 - 2
Apr 3, 2025
BOS @ MTL
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+59.2% more
Boston: 6.6
vs
Montreal: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+38.2%
Boston: 55.4%
vs
Montreal: 17.2%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.6% more
Montreal: 29.6
vs
Boston: 25.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.9%
Montreal: 56.6%
vs
Boston: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
3.0
3
BOS Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 17.3
14.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
45.7 / 56.6
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
23.2 / 24.6
21.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
55.4 / 17.2
75.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
25.3 / 29.6
21.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 4.1
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
MTL
BOS
MTL
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
TTL
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town