Goaltending
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 4.08 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
4.08
0.963 Ldr
Save %
0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
JETS
100%
RED WINGS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
17.5%
DET By 2-3 goals
37.2%
WPG By 1 goal
6.6%
WPG By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Winnipeg
1
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Push
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
WPG @ DET
3 - 2
Jan 24, 2026
DET @ WPG
5 - 1
Dec 31, 2025
WPG @ DET
1 - 2
Jan 4, 2025
DET @ WPG
4 - 2
Oct 30, 2024
WPG @ DET
6 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.1% more
Detroit: 32.0
vs
Winnipeg: 22.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.2% more
Detroit: 15.6
vs
Winnipeg: 13.6
Power Play % (L5)
+9.9%
Detroit: 30.7%
vs
Winnipeg: 20.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
Detroit: 53.1%
vs
Winnipeg: 48.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
5
WPG Score
1.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 15.6
15.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
48.7 / 53.1
45.0 / 55.0
Hits
20.9 / 15.6
22.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
2079.0 / 3065.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.0 / 32.0
27.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 4.2
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
DET
WPG
DET
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2