Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Sun Devils CIN @ ASU

CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

10-9  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 10:00 PM ET
Desert Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

10-9  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
0%
📊
SUN DEVILS
100%
BEARCATS --
SUN DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Cincinnati)
BearcatsCIN (-3.5) 0 Sun DevilsASU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

99.5%

Sun Devils Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CIN -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

CIN By 1-7 points

2.7%

CIN By 8-14 points

9.3%

ASU By 1-7 points

0.4%

ASU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
81
CINCINNATI
55
ARIZONA STATE
Simulated Score
70
CINCINNATI
78
ARIZONA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bearcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sun Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bearcats (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Sun Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 CIN @ ASU 68 - 82
Jan 18, 2025 ASU @ CIN 60 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.7%
Cincinnati: 76.1% vs Arizona State: 69.5%
Blocks (L5) +78.2% more
Arizona State: 5.3 vs Cincinnati: 3.0
Turnovers (L5) +26.2% more
Arizona State: 13.5 vs Cincinnati: 10.7
Assists (L5) +11.0% more
Arizona State: 15.4 vs Cincinnati: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 81.0 68
ASU Score 55.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 23.7 46.0 / 24.0
Assists 15.4 / 13.9 17.0 / 19.0
Blocks 5.3 / 3.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 39.0 47.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 69.5 / 76.1 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 34.2 31.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.4 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 10.7 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ASU
CIN
ASU
CIN
ML
52% 17-16
67% 22-11
68% 21-10
74% 23-8
ATS
52% 17-16
64% 21-12
68% 21-10
74% 23-8
TTL
64% 21-12
67% 22-11
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 20 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 32 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 27 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 18 minutes ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 7 hours ago