GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
16-3 | Road
67
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
11-8 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
LONGHORNS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UGA -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
UGA By 1-7 points
9.3%
UGA By 8-14 points
20.1%
TEX By 1-7 points
2.2%
TEX By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia
95
GEORGIA
Texas
76
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Georgia
72
GEORGIA
Texas
75
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o167.5
Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
TEX @ UGA
80 - 91
Jan 24, 2026
UGA @ TEX
67 - 87
Mar 1, 2025
UGA @ TEX
83 - 67
Jan 26, 2019
TEX @ UGA
88 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+66.7% more
Georgia: 6.2
vs
Texas: 2.1
Steals (L5)
+18.1% more
Georgia: 7.1
vs
Texas: 5.8
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
Georgia: 11.4
vs
Texas: 9.8
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Georgia: 12.0
vs
Texas: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UGA Score
95.0
67
TEX Score
76.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.0 / 32.0
38.0 / 32.0
Assists
10.6 / 12.0
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.1 / 6.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 41.7
58.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
81.7 / 80.9
75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 40.1
32.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.8 / 7.1
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 11.4
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
TEX
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
UGA
TEX
UGA
ML
58%
21-15
67%
22-11
56%
19-15
56%
18-14
ATS
56%
20-16
61%
20-13
56%
19-15
56%
18-14
TTL
64%
23-13
64%
21-12
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…