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KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

14-5  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 3:30 PM ET
Gervin GameAbove Center
View Odds Details →

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

9-10  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 EaglesEMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

0.5%

Eagles Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EMU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)

KENT By 1-7 points

0.4%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.0%

EMU By 1-7 points

2.7%

EMU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
KENT STATE
90
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
68
KENT STATE
75
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 EMU @ KENT 91 - 95
Jan 24, 2026 KENT @ EMU 76 - 75
Mar 7, 2025 EMU @ KENT 70 - 76
Feb 4, 2025 KENT @ EMU 70 - 49
Jan 6, 2024 KENT @ EMU 69 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.8% more
Eastern Michigan: 4.1 vs Kent State: 3.2
Steals (L5) +21.3% more
Eastern Michigan: 5.7 vs Kent State: 4.7
Assists (L5) +28.0% more
Kent State: 18.0 vs Eastern Michigan: 13.0
Turnovers (L5) +22.0% more
Kent State: 13.2 vs Eastern Michigan: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 64.0 76
EMU Score 90.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 33.4 25.0 / 35.0
Assists 13.0 / 18.0 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.2 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 47.2 35.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 76.8 / 77.6 88.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 41.6 42.0 / 47.0
Steals 5.7 / 4.7 14.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 13.2 9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
KENT
EMU
KENT
ML
65% 20-11
53% 18-16
70% 21-9
65% 22-12
ATS
65% 20-11
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
65% 22-12
TTL
71% 22-9
44% 15-19
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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