AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
CORNHUSKERS
--
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NEB -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
NEB By 1-7 points
18.6%
NEB By 8-14 points
26.8%
MINN By 1-7 points
6.8%
MINN By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
88
NEBRASKA
Minnesota
75
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Nebraska
69
NEBRASKA
Minnesota
76
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cornhuskers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Gophers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cornhuskers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Golden Gophers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
NEB @ MINN
76 - 57
Mar 1, 2025
MINN @ NEB
67 - 65
Feb 25, 2024
MINN @ NEB
55 - 73
Dec 6, 2023
NEB @ MINN
65 - 76
Mar 8, 2023
MINN @ NEB
78 - 75
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
Nebraska: 39.0%
vs
Minnesota: 31.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Nebraska: 49.4%
vs
Minnesota: 43.3%
Blocks (L5)
+42.3% more
Minnesota: 2.9
vs
Nebraska: 2.0
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Minnesota: 8.5
vs
Nebraska: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
88.0
76
MINN Score
75.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 39.0
29.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.7 / 17.8
19.0 / 24.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.0
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 49.4
40.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 78.2
50.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 31.9
31.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.4 / 6.6
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 7.3
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
MINN
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
NEB
MINN
NEB
ML
48%
16-17
51%
18-17
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
ATS
55%
18-15
54%
19-16
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
TTL
52%
17-16
63%
22-13
100%
31-0
100%
34-0