Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demon Deacons @ Blue Devils WAKE @ DUKE

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

11-8  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 12:00 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

17-1  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
DEMON DEACONS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Duke)
Demon DeaconsWAKE (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsDUKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demon Deacons Cover

0.3%

Blue Devils Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)

WAKE By 1-7 points

0.2%

WAKE By 8-14 points

0.0%

DUKE By 1-7 points

1.7%

DUKE By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
WAKE FOREST
105
DUKE
Simulated Score
72
WAKE FOREST
78
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (-18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 WAKE @ DUKE 69 - 90
Mar 3, 2025 WAKE @ DUKE 60 - 93
Jan 25, 2025 DUKE @ WAKE 63 - 56
Feb 24, 2024 DUKE @ WAKE 79 - 83
Feb 12, 2024 WAKE @ DUKE 69 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +27.8% more
Duke: 36.1 vs Wake Forest: 28.2
Blocks (L5) +14.6% more
Duke: 3.7 vs Wake Forest: 3.2
Assists (L5) +10.3% more
Duke: 16.0 vs Wake Forest: 14.5
Turnovers (L5) +8.3% more
Duke: 11.3 vs Wake Forest: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 77.0 69
DUKE Score 105.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 33.0 28.0 / 44.0
Assists 16.0 / 14.5 16.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.2 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 44.3 50.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 67.3 / 74.1 88.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 28.2 43.0 / 22.0
Steals 10.0 / 9.3 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 10.5 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
DUKE Advantage
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
WAKE
DUKE
WAKE
ML
71% 27-11
49% 17-18
73% 24-9
61% 20-13
ATS
79% 30-8
66% 23-12
73% 24-9
61% 20-13
TTL
47% 18-20
60% 21-14
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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