OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
11-8 | Road
63
KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
13-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
REBELS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UK +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UK)
MISS By 1-7 points
26.2%
MISS By 8-14 points
16.9%
UK By 1-7 points
24.3%
UK By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Ole Miss
79
OLE MISS
Kentucky
78
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Ole Miss
71
OLE MISS
Kentucky
78
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rebels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
MISS @ UK
63 - 72
Feb 4, 2025
UK @ MISS
84 - 98
Feb 13, 2024
MISS @ UK
63 - 75
Jan 31, 2023
UK @ MISS
75 - 66
Mar 1, 2022
MISS @ UK
72 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Ole Miss: 78.3%
vs
Kentucky: 73.2%
Steals (L5)
+45.7% more
Kentucky: 8.3
vs
Ole Miss: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+37.3% more
Kentucky: 5.2
vs
Ole Miss: 3.8
Turnovers (L5)
+27.7% more
Kentucky: 9.2
vs
Ole Miss: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MISS Score
79.0
63
UK Score
78.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 31.6
30.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.3 / 11.9
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.8
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 41.9
36.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 78.3
74.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 33.7
45.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.3 / 5.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 7.2
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MISS
--
UK
Advantage
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MISS
--
UK
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MISS
--
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
MISS
UK
MISS
ML
71%
25-10
48%
16-17
72%
23-9
52%
17-16
ATS
83%
29-6
61%
20-13
72%
23-9
52%
17-16
TTL
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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