ALCORN STATE
BRAVESALCN
3-14 | Road
58
FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
7-9 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
RATTLERS
100%
BRAVES
--
RATTLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
ALCORN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Alcorn State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ALCN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALCN)
ALCN By 1-7 points
23.0%
ALCN By 8-14 points
27.2%
FAMU By 1-7 points
10.7%
FAMU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Alcorn State
76
ALCORN STATE
Florida A&M
66
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
Alcorn State
65
ALCORN STATE
Florida A&M
68
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rattlers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (-8)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Rattlers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u142.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
FAMU @ ALCN
86 - 78
Jan 24, 2026
ALCN @ FAMU
58 - 66
Feb 17, 2025
ALCN @ FAMU
76 - 85
Jan 25, 2025
FAMU @ ALCN
65 - 64
Feb 19, 2024
FAMU @ ALCN
68 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.0% more
Alcorn State: 3.0
vs
Florida A&M: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Alcorn State: 79.0%
vs
Florida A&M: 73.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+34.2% more
Florida A&M: 16.7
vs
Alcorn State: 12.4
Steals (L5)
+33.9% more
Florida A&M: 7.0
vs
Alcorn State: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score
76.0
58
FAMU Score
66.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 28.7
37.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.4
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.0
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 40.4
51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 79.0
64.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 35.9
32.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.3
11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 12.4
19.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
ALCN
FAMU
ALCN
ML
55%
16-13
66%
21-11
71%
17-7
75%
18-6
ATS
48%
14-15
68%
21-10-1
71%
17-7
75%
18-6
TTL
76%
22-7
47%
15-17
100%
24-0
100%
24-0
