Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gamecocks @ Aggies SC @ TA&M

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

11-8  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 3:30 PM ET
Reed Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

15-4  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
📊
AGGIES
0%
GAMECOCKS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Texas A&M)
GamecocksSC (-3.5) 0 AggiesTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

15.9%

Aggies Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

SC By 1-7 points

10.7%

SC By 8-14 points

3.3%

TA&M By 1-7 points

23.0%

TA&M By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
SOUTH CAROLINA
76
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
70
SOUTH CAROLINA
75
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Aggies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 SC @ TA&M 69 - 92
Feb 1, 2025 TA&M @ SC 76 - 72
Feb 28, 2024 SC @ TA&M 70 - 68
Jan 14, 2023 TA&M @ SC 94 - 53
Jan 29, 2022 SC @ TA&M 74 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +36.5% more
Texas A&M: 7.7 vs South Carolina: 5.7
Assists (L5) +18.0% more
Texas A&M: 16.3 vs South Carolina: 13.8
Blocks (L5) +17.9% more
Texas A&M: 3.6 vs South Carolina: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5) +1.9%
Texas A&M: 77.4% vs South Carolina: 75.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 66.0 69
TA&M Score 76.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 36.1 44.0 / 36.0
Assists 16.3 / 13.8 25.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.0 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 45.4 48.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 75.5 90.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 35.0 43.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.7 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 12.1 9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
SC
TA&M
SC
ML
67% 20-10
72% 23-9
54% 15-13
68% 21-10
ATS
67% 20-10
69% 22-10
54% 15-13
68% 21-10
TTL
70% 21-9
50% 16-16
100% 28-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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