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FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

8-12  |  Road

71
FINAL
Fri, Jan 23 • 1:00 PM ET
Allen Arena
View Odds Details →

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

13-7  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
BISONS
100%
EAGLES --
BISONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
EaglesFGCU (-3.5) 0 BisonsLIP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

99.8%

Bisons Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FGCU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)

FGCU By 1-7 points

1.4%

FGCU By 8-14 points

5.8%

LIP By 1-7 points

0.1%

LIP By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
79
FLORIDA GULF COAST
50
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
68
FLORIDA GULF COAST
72
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Bisons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 FGCU @ LIP 77 - 53
Jan 23, 2026 FGCU @ LIP 71 - 86
Jan 10, 2026 LIP @ FGCU 84 - 77
Feb 15, 2025 FGCU @ LIP 68 - 82
Jan 25, 2024 LIP @ FGCU 98 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.6% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.9 vs Lipscomb: 2.5
Turnovers (L5) +16.4% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 13.4 vs Lipscomb: 11.2
Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Florida Gulf Coast: 47.0% vs Lipscomb: 45.2%
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Lipscomb: 7.9 vs Florida Gulf Coast: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FGCU Score 79.0 71
LIP Score 50.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 34.5 54.0 / 38.0
Assists 15.4 / 13.9 20.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.9 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 47.0 47.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 80.5 / 66.9 88.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 37.0 35.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.7 2.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 13.4 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FGCU
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
FGCU
LIP
FGCU
ML
71% 22-9
58% 19-14
66% 19-10
67% 22-11
ATS
71% 22-9
61% 20-13
66% 19-10
67% 22-11
TTL
58% 18-13
61% 20-13
100% 29-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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