Home / NBA Projections NBA / Raptors @ Trail Blazers TOR @ POR

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

27-19  |  Road

110
FINAL
Fri, Jan 23 • 10:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

23-22  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
RAPTORS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Portland)
RaptorsTOR (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raptors Cover

46.0%

Trail Blazers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

TOR By 1-7 points

24.3%

TOR By 8-14 points

13.7%

POR By 1-7 points

26.2%

POR By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
110
TORONTO
111
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
109
TORONTO
112
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u225.0 Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim u225.0 Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 23, 2026 TOR @ POR 110 - 98
Dec 2, 2025 POR @ TOR 118 - 121
Apr 3, 2025 POR @ TOR 112 - 103
Mar 16, 2025 TOR @ POR 102 - 105
Mar 9, 2024 TOR @ POR 118 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.2% more
Portland: 17.0 vs Toronto: 12.9
Blocks (L5) +19.7% more
Portland: 4.6 vs Toronto: 3.8
Steals (L5) +11.6% more
Portland: 9.0 vs Toronto: 8.1
Rebounding (L5) +8.9% more
Portland: 46.3 vs Toronto: 42.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 110.0 110
POR Score 111.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 38.7 29.0 / 31.0
Assists 23.1 / 32.6 22.0 / 28.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.8 3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 48.3 40.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 81.5 / 86.3 70.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 46.3 / 42.5 45.0 / 46.0
Steals 9.0 / 8.1 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 12.9 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
TOR
POR
TOR
ML
53% 56-49
55% 57-47
55% 49-40
55% 48-39
ATS
62% 65-39-1
61% 62-40-2
55% 49-40
55% 48-39
TTL
56% 58-46-1
60% 62-42
100% 89-0
100% 87-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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