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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

19-23-8  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Jan 23 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

28-14-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
@
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jordan Binnington None-None 3.05 0.842 --
Jake Oettinger None-None 2.01 0.909 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.05 GAA Ldr 2.01
0.842 Save % Ldr 0.909
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
STARS
0%
BLUES --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Dallas)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

15.9%

Stars Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

DAL By 1 goal

17.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ST. LOUIS
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 0
Feb 4, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 5
Jan 27, 2026 DAL @ STL 4 - 3
Jan 23, 2026 STL @ DAL 2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 DAL @ STL 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.7% more
Dallas: 27.9 vs St. Louis: 24.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +10.6% more
Dallas: 13.0 vs St. Louis: 11.8
Faceoff % (L5) +2.7%
Dallas: 53.2% vs St. Louis: 50.4%
Power Play % (L5) +2.3%
Dallas: 20.8% vs St. Louis: 18.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 1.0 2
DAL Score 3.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.0 / 11.8 16.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 53.2 / 50.4 59.6 / 40.4
Hits 12.9 / 22.3 16.0 / 26.0
Power Play % 20.8 / 18.4 40.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 27.9 / 24.3 19.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 5.3 / 5.1 5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
63%MONEY37%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
STL
DAL
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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