WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
4-16 | Road
64
SOUTHERN INDIANA
SCREAMING EAGLESUSI
4-15 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
100%
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
LEATHERNECKS
--
SCREAMING EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Southern Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USI -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)
WIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
WIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
USI By 1-7 points
0.0%
USI By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Illinois
41
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Southern Indiana
96
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
Western Illinois
68
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Southern Indiana
72
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Screaming Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Screaming Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Screaming Eagles (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim
Screaming Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
USI @ WIU
77 - 70
Jan 23, 2026
WIU @ USI
64 - 96
Feb 13, 2025
USI @ WIU
62 - 87
Jan 18, 2025
WIU @ USI
66 - 78
Feb 24, 2024
USI @ WIU
76 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+90.2% more
Southern Indiana: 3.9
vs
Western Illinois: 2.0
Turnovers (L5)
+27.9% more
Southern Indiana: 12.9
vs
Western Illinois: 10.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.9% more
Southern Indiana: 40.9
vs
Western Illinois: 35.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
Southern Indiana: 65.9%
vs
Western Illinois: 61.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIU Score
41.0
64
USI Score
96.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.3 / 29.8
46.0 / 23.0
Assists
7.2 / 9.2
18.0 / 4.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.0
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
33.3 / 39.7
52.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 61.6
81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 35.3
47.0 / 29.0
Steals
4.6 / 5.8
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 10.1
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
USI
Advantage
7-23-0
(23.3%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
USI
Advantage
11-16-1
(40.7%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
WIU
USI
WIU
ML
67%
20-10
45%
14-17
61%
17-11
61%
19-12
ATS
70%
21-9
52%
16-15
61%
17-11
61%
19-12
TTL
73%
22-8
45%
14-17
100%
28-0
100%
31-0
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