AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
0%
BOBCATS
100%
ZIPS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AKR -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
AKR By 1-7 points
0.1%
AKR By 8-14 points
0.5%
OHIO By 1-7 points
0.0%
OHIO By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
93
AKRON
Ohio
53
OHIO
Simulated Score
Akron
74
AKRON
Ohio
70
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Zips (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
AKR @ OHIO
86 - 65
Feb 22, 2025
AKR @ OHIO
67 - 84
Jan 17, 2025
OHIO @ AKR
80 - 92
Mar 15, 2024
OHIO @ AKR
62 - 65
Feb 27, 2024
AKR @ OHIO
67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+42.4% more
Akron: 20.2
vs
Ohio: 11.7
Steals (L5)
+38.0% more
Akron: 8.3
vs
Ohio: 5.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.0% more
Akron: 36.4
vs
Ohio: 30.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
Akron: 80.4%
vs
Ohio: 72.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
93.0
86
OHIO Score
53.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 41.3
24.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.7 / 20.2
5.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.7
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 50.0
33.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 80.4
78.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 36.4
30.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.1 / 8.3
9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 11.4
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
OHIO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
OHIO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
AKR
OHIO
AKR
ML
65%
20-11
71%
24-10
63%
19-11
65%
22-12
ATS
68%
21-10
76%
26-8
63%
19-11
65%
22-12
TTL
61%
19-12
59%
20-14
100%
30-0
100%
34-0