Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Sharks NYR @ SJ

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

21-24-6  |  Road

1
FINAL
Fri, Jan 23 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

25-21-3  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Braden Schneider
GOALTENDER

Braden Schneider

#4 | Defense
@
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Braden Schneider None-None -- -- --
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 1.00 0.966 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.00
-- Save % 0.966
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
RANGERS --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

84.1%

Sharks Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

NYR By 1 goal

17.5%

NYR By 2-3 goals

37.2%

SJ By 1 goal

6.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
1
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
2
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 23, 2026 NYR @ SJ 1 - 3
Oct 23, 2025 SJ @ NYR 6 - 5
Mar 29, 2025 NYR @ SJ 6 - 1
Nov 14, 2024 SJ @ NYR 2 - 3
Jan 23, 2024 NYR @ SJ 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +25.1%
New York: 31.3% vs San Jose: 6.1%
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.0% more
New York: 28.2 vs San Jose: 24.8
Faceoff % (L5) +10.3%
New York: 62.3% vs San Jose: 52.0%
Takeaways (L5) +25.4% more
San Jose: 4.8 vs New York: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 3.0 1
SJ Score 1.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 17.3 18.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 52.0 / 62.3 43.1 / 56.9
Hits 23.9 / 25.8 14.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 6.1 / 31.3 28.6 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 24.8 / 28.2 31.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 3.8 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
NYR
SJ
NYR
ML
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
0% 0-3
40% 2-3
ATS
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
TTL
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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