PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
24-14-11 | Road
6
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
25-18-8 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Tristan Jarry
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 2.02 | 0.938 | -- |
| Tristan Jarry | None-None | 6.00 | 0.739 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.02 Ldr
GAA
6.00
0.938 Ldr
Save %
0.739
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
OILERS
100%
PENGUINS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
5
PITTSBURGH
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
PIT @ EDM
6 - 2
Dec 16, 2025
EDM @ PIT
6 - 4
Jan 9, 2025
EDM @ PIT
3 - 5
Oct 25, 2024
PIT @ EDM
0 - 4
Mar 10, 2024
EDM @ PIT
4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+36.9% more
Pittsburgh: 5.6
vs
Edmonton: 3.5
Hits (L5)
+12.5% more
Pittsburgh: 18.2
vs
Edmonton: 15.9
Power Play % (L5)
+8.9%
Edmonton: 18.0%
vs
Pittsburgh: 9.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Edmonton: 52.5%
vs
Pittsburgh: 50.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
4.0
6
EDM Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 14.5
9.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 50.7
54.9 / 45.1
Hits
15.9 / 18.2
20.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
1801.0 / 908.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 28.8
32.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 5.6
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
PIT
EDM
PIT
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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