Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hatters @ Bisons STET @ LIP

STETSON

HATTERSSTET

7-12  |  Road

74
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 1:00 PM ET
Allen Arena
View Odds Details →

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

12-7  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
📊
BISONS
0%
HATTERS --
BISONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Lipscomb)
HattersSTET (-3.5) 0 BisonsLIP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hatters Cover

13.6%

Bisons Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

STET By 1-7 points

9.3%

STET By 8-14 points

2.7%

LIP By 1-7 points

21.6%

LIP By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
69
STETSON
80
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
72
STETSON
75
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Bisons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 STET @ LIP 74 - 79
Jan 8, 2026 LIP @ STET 83 - 91
Feb 13, 2025 STET @ LIP 60 - 93
Jan 27, 2024 LIP @ STET 59 - 80
Feb 28, 2023 LIP @ STET 83 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +138.5% more
Lipscomb: 3.7 vs Stetson: 1.6
Free Throw % (L5) +13.3%
Lipscomb: 81.2% vs Stetson: 67.9%
Rebounding (L5) +11.8% more
Lipscomb: 37.1 vs Stetson: 33.2
Turnovers (L5) +8.6% more
Stetson: 12.9 vs Lipscomb: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STET Score 69.0 74
LIP Score 80.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 40.5 29.0 / 32.0
Assists 16.1 / 16.8 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.6 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 49.7 39.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 67.9 79.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 33.2 35.0 / 47.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.4 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 12.9 10.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.6
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
STET
LIP
STET
ML
71% 22-9
55% 18-15
66% 19-10
73% 24-9
ATS
71% 22-9
64% 21-12
66% 19-10
73% 24-9
TTL
58% 18-13
61% 20-13
100% 29-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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