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CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

21-22  |  Road

120
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 8:00 PM ET
Target Center
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

27-17  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
📊
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
BULLS --
TIMBERWOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 TimberwolvesMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

18.4%

Timberwolves Cover

81.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

CHI By 1-7 points

24.3%

CHI By 8-14 points

26.8%

MIN By 1-7 points

12.2%

MIN By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
118
CHICAGO
109
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
115
CHICAGO
109
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim Bulls (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u238.0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim u238.0 Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 CHI @ MIN 120 - 115
Dec 29, 2025 MIN @ CHI 136 - 101
Oct 16, 2025 MIN @ CHI 120 - 126
Feb 5, 2025 CHI @ MIN 108 - 127
Nov 7, 2024 MIN @ CHI 135 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +25.7% more
Chicago: 35.6 vs Minnesota: 26.4
Blocks (L5) +22.8% more
Chicago: 7.8 vs Minnesota: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Chicago: 42.4% vs Minnesota: 37.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Chicago: 51.8% vs Minnesota: 47.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 118.0 120
MIN Score 109.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.5 / 42.4 37.0 / 44.0
Assists 26.4 / 35.6 29.0 / 28.0
Blocks 6.0 / 7.8 9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 51.8 46.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 75.6 93.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 44.8 / 43.0 45.0 / 43.0
Steals 9.2 / 8.8 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 6.9 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIN
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHI
MIN
CHI
ML
54% 63-53
56% 54-42
54% 50-43
57% 46-35
ATS
58% 67-49
65% 62-33-1
54% 50-43
57% 46-35
TTL
63% 72-43-1
58% 56-40
100% 93-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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