Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Clippers LAL @ LAC

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

26-16  |  Road

104
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 10:00 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

19-24  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
CLIPPERS
0%
LAKERS --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (LA)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

9.7%

Clippers Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAL By 1-7 points

6.8%

LAL By 8-14 points

1.7%

LAC By 1-7 points

18.6%

LAC By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
101
LOS ANGELES
114
LA
Simulated Score
112
LOS ANGELES
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Clippers (-1) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u222.5 Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim u222.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 20, 2026 LAC @ LAL 122 - 125
Jan 22, 2026 LAL @ LAC 104 - 112
Dec 20, 2025 LAL @ LAC 88 - 103
Nov 25, 2025 LAC @ LAL 118 - 135
Mar 2, 2025 LAC @ LAL 102 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +64.6% more
LA: 9.3 vs Los Angeles: 5.6
Blocks (L5) +26.0% more
LA: 4.8 vs Los Angeles: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5) +9.6%
LA: 85.5% vs Los Angeles: 75.9%
Turnovers (L5) +30.6% more
Los Angeles: 13.6 vs LA: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 101.0 104
LAC Score 114.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 39.5 39.0 / 33.0
Assists 23.0 / 24.5 23.0 / 24.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.8 0.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 49.5 48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 85.5 / 75.9 95.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 43.8 49.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.3 / 5.6 8.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 13.6 20.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
LAL
LAC
LAL
ML
60% 59-40
61% 68-43
55% 45-37
54% 49-42
ATS
66% 65-33-1
61% 67-43-1
55% 45-37
54% 49-42
TTL
59% 58-40-1
61% 66-43-2
100% 82-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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