DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
31-16-4 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
28-14-9 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.96 | 0.912 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.96
--
Save %
0.912
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
WILD
0%
RED WINGS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
MIN @ DET
5 - 4
Jan 22, 2026
DET @ MIN
3 - 4
Feb 25, 2025
DET @ MIN
3 - 2
Feb 22, 2025
MIN @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 27, 2023
DET @ MIN
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+22.1% more
Minnesota: 19.4
vs
Detroit: 15.9
Power Play % (L5)
+19.6%
Minnesota: 40.6%
vs
Detroit: 21.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.8%
Minnesota: 48.1%
vs
Detroit: 46.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.0
3
MIN Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 14.5
20.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
48.1 / 46.3
33.3 / 66.7
Hits
19.4 / 15.9
18.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
40.6 / 21.0
25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.1 / 31.5
39.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.4
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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