EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
7-12 | Road
85
NORTH FLORIDA
OSPREYSUNF
3-16 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
OSPREYS
100%
COLONELS
--
OSPREYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-62.0
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +62.0 points (Eastern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EKU -62.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EKU)
EKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNF By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Kentucky
128
EASTERN KENTUCKY
North Florida
66
NORTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Eastern Kentucky
78
EASTERN KENTUCKY
North Florida
73
NORTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colonels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonels (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -62.0
D
Sim
Colonels (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Win
Proj Total: 194.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
EKU @ UNF
85 - 87
Feb 26, 2025
EKU @ UNF
86 - 81
Jan 9, 2025
UNF @ EKU
74 - 79
Jan 27, 2024
UNF @ EKU
76 - 89
Feb 22, 2023
EKU @ UNF
64 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+48.1% more
Eastern Kentucky: 2.9
vs
North Florida: 1.5
Steals (L5)
+42.5% more
Eastern Kentucky: 6.2
vs
North Florida: 3.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Eastern Kentucky: 43.7%
vs
North Florida: 35.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Eastern Kentucky: 49.8%
vs
North Florida: 45.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EKU Score
128.0
85
UNF Score
66.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 43.7
37.0 / 43.0
Assists
15.6 / 16.9
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.5 / 2.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 49.8
51.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 67.3
76.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 34.4
38.0 / 34.0
Steals
3.5 / 6.2
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.2
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
UNF
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
UNF
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNF
EKU
UNF
EKU
ML
69%
22-10
44%
14-18
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
ATS
69%
22-10
56%
18-14
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
TTL
66%
21-11
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Jon Scheyer Turned Down NBA Interest to Chase Duke Glory
Jon Scheyer Explains Decision to Remain at Duke Despite NBA Inte…
Jon Scheyer Reveals Why He Stayed at Duke Despite Mavericks' Pur…
Boyd County Duo's Unforgettable Encounter with Larry Bird at His…
Missouri Forward Mark Mitchell Joins Louisville Lawsuit Seeking …