UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
7-12 | Road
49
MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
3-17 | Home
52
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
0%
BLACK BEARS
100%
GREAT DANES
--
BLACK BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UALBANY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UAlbany)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UALB -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UALB)
UALB By 1-7 points
23.0%
UALB By 8-14 points
27.2%
ME By 1-7 points
10.7%
ME By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
65
UALBANY
Maine
55
MAINE
Simulated Score
UAlbany
68
UALBANY
Maine
72
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Great Danes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Great Danes (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
ME @ UALB
70 - 59
Jan 22, 2026
UALB @ ME
49 - 52
Feb 20, 2025
ME @ UALB
68 - 79
Jan 11, 2025
UALB @ ME
66 - 87
Mar 2, 2024
ME @ UALB
74 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.6% more
UAlbany: 13.8
vs
Maine: 9.6
Steals (L5)
+21.4% more
UAlbany: 7.5
vs
Maine: 5.9
Blocks (L5)
+16.8% more
UAlbany: 4.5
vs
Maine: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+15.5% more
UAlbany: 34.3
vs
Maine: 29.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
65.0
49
ME Score
55.0
52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.6 / 35.9
21.0 / 17.0
Assists
9.6 / 13.8
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.5
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 46.4
39.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 74.6
72.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
29.0 / 34.3
27.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.9 / 7.5
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.6
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
ME
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
UALB
ME
UALB
ML
45%
14-17
55%
17-14
52%
16-15
71%
22-9
ATS
55%
17-14
77%
24-7
52%
16-15
72%
23-9
TTL
55%
17-14
61%
19-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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