Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Anteaters @ Highlanders UCI @ UCR

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

12-7  |  Road

80
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 10:00 PM ET
SRC Arena
View Odds Details →

UC RIVERSIDE

HIGHLANDERSUCR

7-12  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
100%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
0%
ANTEATERS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UC RIVERSIDE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (UC Riverside)
AnteatersUCI (-3.5) 0 HighlandersUCR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Anteaters Cover

13.6%

Highlanders Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCR -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCR)

UCI By 1-7 points

9.3%

UCI By 8-14 points

2.7%

UCR By 1-7 points

21.6%

UCR By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
76
UC IRVINE
87
UC RIVERSIDE
Simulated Score
73
UC IRVINE
68
UC RIVERSIDE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Highlanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Highlanders (+8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Anteaters (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 UCI @ UCR 80 - 66
Dec 4, 2025 UCR @ UCI 60 - 73
Jan 23, 2025 UCI @ UCR 80 - 84
Jan 4, 2025 UCR @ UCI 57 - 81
Feb 10, 2024 UCI @ UCR 78 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +52.6% more
UC Irvine: 5.9 vs UC Riverside: 2.8
Steals (L5) +31.0% more
UC Irvine: 6.7 vs UC Riverside: 4.7
Rebounding (L5) +10.6% more
UC Irvine: 38.2 vs UC Riverside: 34.1
Free Throw % (L5) +4.9%
UC Irvine: 82.3% vs UC Riverside: 77.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCI Score 76.0 80
UCR Score 87.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 34.5 28.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.2 / 11.9 12.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.9 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 46.0 34.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 82.3 94.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 38.2 33.0 / 44.0
Steals 4.7 / 6.7 4.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 13.2 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
UCR
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
UCR
14-14-2 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
UCR
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCR
UCI
UCR
UCI
ML
66% 21-11
57% 20-15
75% 24-8
53% 18-16
ATS
59% 19-13
63% 22-13
75% 24-8
53% 18-16
TTL
66% 21-11
57% 20-15
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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