Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Screaming Eagles EIU @ USI

EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

8-11  |  Road

59
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 8:30 PM ET
Liberty Arena (IN)
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

4-14  |  Home

51
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
PANTHERS --
SCREAMING EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Southern Indiana)
PanthersEIU (-3.5) 0 Screaming EaglesUSI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

0.6%

Screaming Eagles Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USI -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)

EIU By 1-7 points

0.5%

EIU By 8-14 points

0.1%

USI By 1-7 points

3.3%

USI By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
41
EASTERN ILLINOIS
66
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
67
EASTERN ILLINOIS
75
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Screaming Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Screaming Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Screaming Eagles (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Screaming Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 USI @ EIU 70 - 68
Jan 22, 2026 EIU @ USI 59 - 51
Feb 20, 2025 EIU @ USI 63 - 54
Jan 25, 2025 USI @ EIU 64 - 60
Feb 8, 2024 EIU @ USI 81 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +18.0% more
Southern Indiana: 38.9 vs Eastern Illinois: 33.0
Steals (L5) +31.2% more
Eastern Illinois: 7.8 vs Southern Indiana: 5.4
Assists (L5) +28.9% more
Eastern Illinois: 12.4 vs Southern Indiana: 8.8
Turnovers (L5) +18.3% more
Eastern Illinois: 13.3 vs Southern Indiana: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EIU Score 41.0 59
USI Score 66.0 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 31.1 14.0 / 17.0
Assists 8.8 / 12.4 4.0 / 3.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 37.5 / 42.4 25.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 63.9 / 77.3 70.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 33.0 45.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.4 / 7.8 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.3 17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
EIU
USI
EIU
ML
67% 20-10
56% 18-14
61% 17-11
74% 23-8
ATS
70% 21-9
50% 16-16
61% 17-11
74% 23-8
TTL
73% 22-8
69% 22-10
100% 28-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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