MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
9-10 | Road
63
HAMPTON
PIRATESHAMP
9-10 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
PIRATES
100%
HAWKS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Monmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MONM -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)
MONM By 1-7 points
15.3%
MONM By 8-14 points
25.3%
HAMP By 1-7 points
4.8%
HAMP By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
70
MONMOUTH
Hampton
55
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
Monmouth
75
MONMOUTH
Hampton
72
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Hawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
MONM @ HAMP
63 - 65
Feb 6, 2025
HAMP @ MONM
63 - 68
Feb 29, 2024
MONM @ HAMP
56 - 64
Jan 20, 2024
HAMP @ MONM
77 - 85
Mar 3, 2023
MONM @ HAMP
100 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+31.0% more
Monmouth: 7.9
vs
Hampton: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+18.0% more
Monmouth: 14.2
vs
Hampton: 11.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Monmouth: 11.3
vs
Hampton: 9.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Monmouth: 32.6%
vs
Hampton: 26.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
70.0
63
HAMP Score
55.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.7 / 32.6
47.0 / 38.0
Assists
11.6 / 14.2
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.1
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 40.8
39.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 69.4
77.0 / 42.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 36.5
31.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.4 / 7.9
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 11.3
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HAMP
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
MONM
HAMP
MONM
ML
53%
17-15
62%
21-13
75%
24-8
64%
21-12
ATS
50%
16-16
62%
21-13
75%
24-8
64%
21-12
TTL
68%
21-10-1
59%
20-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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