STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
11-9 | Road
95
NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
6-12 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
0%
HUSKIES
100%
SEAWOLVES
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
100.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Stony Brook)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STBK -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)
STBK By 1-7 points
26.8%
STBK By 8-14 points
24.3%
NE By 1-7 points
16.9%
NE By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Stony Brook
53
STONY BROOK
Northeastern
47
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Stony Brook
68
STONY BROOK
Northeastern
72
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Seawolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Seawolves (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 100.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
NE @ STBK
55 - 69
Jan 22, 2026
STBK @ NE
95 - 80
Feb 15, 2025
STBK @ NE
60 - 71
Jan 11, 2025
NE @ STBK
70 - 66
Mar 9, 2024
NE @ STBK
65 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+69.6% more
Stony Brook: 6.6
vs
Northeastern: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+24.0% more
Stony Brook: 18.6
vs
Northeastern: 14.1
Rebounding (L5)
+11.8% more
Stony Brook: 36.1
vs
Northeastern: 31.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Stony Brook: 37.4%
vs
Northeastern: 30.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STBK Score
53.0
95
NE Score
47.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 37.4
33.0 / 55.0
Assists
14.1 / 18.6
19.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.0 / 6.6
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 45.0
48.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 70.5
42.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 36.1
27.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.7 / 5.3
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 8.8
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
STBK
NE
STBK
ML
70%
21-9
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
71%
22-9
ATS
63%
19-11
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
71%
22-9
TTL
53%
16-14
65%
20-11
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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