AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
EAGLES
100%
VIKINGS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRST -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
PRST By 1-7 points
25.3%
PRST By 8-14 points
26.2%
EWU By 1-7 points
13.7%
EWU By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland State
92
PORTLAND STATE
Eastern Washington
84
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Portland State
72
PORTLAND STATE
Eastern Washington
79
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vikings (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
EWU @ PRST
67 - 55
Jan 22, 2026
PRST @ EWU
65 - 61
Feb 8, 2025
PRST @ EWU
67 - 72
Jan 9, 2025
EWU @ PRST
59 - 64
Feb 5, 2024
EWU @ PRST
90 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.0% more
Portland State: 16.7
vs
Eastern Washington: 11.4
Rebounding (L5)
+23.5% more
Portland State: 39.3
vs
Eastern Washington: 30.1
Blocks (L5)
+15.2% more
Portland State: 4.6
vs
Eastern Washington: 3.9
Steals (L5)
+10.2% more
Portland State: 6.6
vs
Eastern Washington: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRST Score
92.0
65
EWU Score
84.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 31.4
27.0 / 17.0
Assists
11.4 / 16.7
10.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.6
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 46.7
38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
83.3 / 69.9
74.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 39.3
28.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.6
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.6
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
EWU
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
PRST
EWU
PRST
ML
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
69%
22-10
71%
22-9
ATS
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
69%
22-10
71%
22-9
TTL
48%
16-17
47%
14-16-1
100%
32-0
100%
31-0