GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
11-9 | Road
81
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
9-11 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
PENGUINS
0%
PHOENIX
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Youngstown State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YSU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)
GB By 1-7 points
12.2%
GB By 8-14 points
4.0%
YSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
YSU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
71
GREEN BAY
Youngstown State
80
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
Green Bay
71
GREEN BAY
Youngstown State
75
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
YSU @ GB
63 - 85
Jan 22, 2026
GB @ YSU
81 - 88
Feb 23, 2025
GB @ YSU
77 - 81
Jan 19, 2025
YSU @ GB
73 - 69
Feb 25, 2024
YSU @ GB
71 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+173.9% more
Youngstown State: 7.0
vs
Green Bay: 2.6
Rebounding (L5)
+20.5% more
Youngstown State: 35.2
vs
Green Bay: 29.2
Assists (L5)
+21.9% more
Green Bay: 16.9
vs
Youngstown State: 13.2
Blocks (L5)
+17.7% more
Green Bay: 4.6
vs
Youngstown State: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
71.0
81
YSU Score
80.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 36.6
44.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.2 / 16.9
18.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.6
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 51.1
50.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 80.7
82.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 29.2
28.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.0 / 2.6
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.4
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
YSU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
YSU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
GB
YSU
GB
ML
57%
17-13
48%
16-17
67%
20-10
67%
22-11
ATS
47%
14-16
52%
17-16
67%
20-10
67%
22-11
TTL
60%
18-12
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
