VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
24-12-12 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
28-20-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Mason Lohrei
#6 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Mason Lohrei | 19-12 | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
19-12
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
BRUINS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Boston
2
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
VGK @ BOS
3 - 4
Oct 16, 2025
BOS @ VGK
5 - 6
Mar 20, 2025
BOS @ VGK
1 - 5
Feb 8, 2025
VGK @ BOS
4 - 3
Feb 29, 2024
VGK @ BOS
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.6% more
Vegas: 29.4
vs
Boston: 23.9
Power Play % (L5)
+24.0%
Boston: 49.7%
vs
Vegas: 25.7%
Hits (L5)
+14.0% more
Boston: 25.3
vs
Vegas: 22.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.5%
Boston: 47.7%
vs
Vegas: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
3
BOS Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 13.9
20.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 42.1
41.9 / 58.1
Hits
25.3 / 22.2
19.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
49.7 / 25.7
66.7 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
23.9 / 29.4
28.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 5.2
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
VGK
BOS
VGK
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
