DALLAS
STARSDAL
28-13-9 | Road
0
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
22-20-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 1.06 | 0.955 | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.06
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.955
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
STARS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Columbus
5
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
DAL @ CBJ
0 - 1
Oct 21, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
5 - 1
Feb 25, 2025
DAL @ CBJ
4 - 6
Feb 2, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
3 - 5
Nov 9, 2023
DAL @ CBJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+45.7% more
Columbus: 23.1
vs
Dallas: 15.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.8% more
Columbus: 17.0
vs
Dallas: 14.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.9%
Dallas: 55.2%
vs
Columbus: 45.3%
Power Play % (L5)
+9.4%
Dallas: 31.2%
vs
Columbus: 21.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
2.0
0
CBJ Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 14.6
17.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
45.3 / 55.2
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
23.1 / 15.9
35.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
2181.0 / 3119.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 27.8
22.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 5.4
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
DAL
CBJ
DAL
ML
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
1-1
100%
4-0
0%
0-2
50%
2-2
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